Weekly Round-up

Actionable intelligence, not noise.

Agenda

  • Spotlight

  • Fine Assets

  • Real Estate

  • Equities

All-Time High US Debt Is Making Even Seasoned Investors Nervous

October 2025 will be remembered as the month America’s debt crisis stopped being theoretical and started feeling uncomfortably real. U.S. gross federal debt crossed $38 trillion that month, adding a full trillion dollars in just 71 days after topping $37 trillion.

Treasury’s Debt to the Penny database captured the milestone in real time, and the speed of accumulation left even seasoned market watchers unsettled.

Break that $38 trillion down and you get roughly $111,000 in federal debt for every single American, using the Census Bureau’s population clock reading of 342.8 million people as of early November.

U.S. debt now equals or exceeds the combined 2025 nominal GDP of China, Japan, Germany, India, and the United Kingdom, per IMF tallies compiled by Investopedia.

After decades of warnings that markets largely dismissed with a shrug, veteran investors are finally growing nervous as debt metrics hit levels that genuinely threaten fiscal sustainability rather than just providing fodder for political speeches.

What America’s Art Market Restructuring Means For Investors

The American art market has cemented itself as the undisputed global powerhouse, representing 43% of worldwide sales by value as of 2025, a dramatic climb from roughly 34% back in 2010.

While Europe and Asia grappled with slower growth or outright stagnation, the United States continued pulling further ahead, with New York functioning as the beating heart of this expansion.

Now five structural forces are converging to reshape how this market operates: the Art Market Integrity Act bringing transparency to historically opaque transactions, continued U.S. dominance despite global competition, de-dollarization trends opening opportunities for sterling-denominated deals, tariff exemptions that give art unique advantages over other luxury assets, and museum funding shifts that are redirecting collector attention toward American icons.

The scale of what’s changing is substantial. An estimated $24.8 billion in U.S. art transactions annually will fall under new compliance requirements if landmark anti-money laundering legislation passes, ending decades of discretion and relationship-based dealing in favor of formal regulatory frameworks.

Why Collectors and Investors Are Obsessed With Monfortino 2019

Something remarkable is happening right now that’s catching the attention of anyone seriously tracking wine markets.

Giacomo Conterno’s Monfortino 2019 has hit the top spot on Liv-ex’s weekly trade-by-value table and refuses to leave, sitting in the top five for three straight weeks through early November.

No Barolo has ever pulled that off, and it’s not happening during some quiet period either. This wine is outgunning Bordeaux First Growths, Burgundy Grand Crus, and Super Tuscans in actual trading volume while the broader fine wine market still nurses wounds from the 2022 correction.

The wait made this release that much more intense. Roberto Conterno hasn’t made Monfortino since 2015, skipping 2016, 2017, and 2018 entirely because nothing met his standards. That’s a four-year gap where collectors who’d been positioning for the next bottle just had to sit tight and hope.

The critical response has been overwhelming. Monica Larner at Wine Advocate gave it 100 points. Audrey Frick at Jeb Dunnuck gave it 100 points. Michaela Morris at Decanter gave it 100 points. James Suckling came in at 98.

That kind of unanimity almost never happens with Italian wine, where critics usually find something to disagree about. When everyone agrees something is genuinely exceptional, markets respond with real money rather than just collector chatter

The Best Discontinued Rolex Watches Every Investment Portfolio Needs

Discontinued Rolex watches occupy a unique position in the watch market where scarcity, brand heritage, and proven appreciation potential converge in ways few other assets can match.

Once Rolex stops producing a reference, supply becomes permanently fixed while demand from collectors and investors worldwide continues growing, creating price dynamics that favor patient holders willing to buy quality and wait.

Market data shows vintage and discontinued Rolex models demonstrating strong performance even during broader corrections that hammered contemporary pieces, revealing genuine investment merit beyond just collector enthusiasm.

What makes a discontinued model genuinely investment-worthy rather than just expensive comes down to production history that created either rarity or cultural significance, collector appeal that extends beyond just Rolex enthusiasts into broader luxury markets, condition availability where mint examples still exist in quantities that allow actual transactions rather than theoretical pricing, and price trajectories that show consistent appreciation rather than volatile speculation.

Dubai Real Estate Keeps Breaking Records While Other Markets Struggle

Dubai’s property market has just done something that seemed improbable even to the most bullish observers. By the end of October 2025, sales had already hit Dh559.4 billion, comfortably surpassing the full-year 2024 record of Dh522.1 billion with two entire months left on the calendar.

While London grapples with the steepest price drops in over two decades and American buyers get priced out by 7% mortgage rates, Dubai keeps accelerating in ways that demand explanation beyond just momentum or hype.

Why Korean Retail Investors Are Betting On America’s Worst Stocks

South Korean retail traders have nearly doubled their U.S. stock holdings to a record $170 billion by October 2025, a surge so dramatic that industry observers started calling it the “Squid Game market” in reference to the Netflix series where desperate contestants bet everything on survival.

The comparison isn’t just clever wordplay. Korean retail investors have become known for extreme risk tolerance, herd behavior that moves markets, and aggressive leverage use that would make even seasoned Wall Street traders nervous.

Right now, they own 31% of certain quantum computing stocks and 40% of specific leveraged single-stock ETFs, concentrations that boggle the mind.

This “ant colony” of 14 million Korean retail investors has become a significant force in Wall Street’s most volatile and speculative corners, the kind of stocks that professionals usually avoid or actively short.

What’s driving this isn’t confidence in fundamentals but rather a desperate hunt for returns, limited opportunities in stagnant domestic markets, and access to leveraged products that are actually illegal to trade back home in Korea.

The result is Asian retail capital flooding into fundamentally weak U.S. equities at precisely the moment when valuations look stretched and professionals are quietly heading for the exits.

At The Luxury Playbook, we don’t follow the market—we analyze it, decode it, and stay ahead of it.”

The Luxury Playbook’s Mission